Manifold Traders Price Polymarket IPO Before 2028 at 52% as Valuation Reports Top $20 Billion
A Manifold Markets crowd now puts Polymarket's odds of going public before 2028 at roughly 43%, even as the prediction…
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Ninth Circuit Lets Nevada Enforce Gaming Laws Against Kalshi Sports Contracts
The Ninth Circuit ruled August 28 that Nevada can regulate Kalshi's sports event contracts as gambling, directly contradicting the Third…
Ohtani Pitching Market Holds Above Even Money After Dodgers Pull Planned Start
Shohei Ohtani's Kalshi contract on pitching again in 2026 crashed from 91 cents to 4 cents after the Dodgers cancelled…
Ninth Circuit Lets Nevada Enforce Gaming Law Against Kalshi Sports Contracts, Deepening Federal Split
A unanimous Ninth Circuit panel ruled August 28 that Nevada can regulate Kalshi's sports event contracts as gambling, directly contradicting…
Kalshi’s NFL MVP Market Shows a 22-to-1 Volume Lead Over Polymarket
Kalshi's 2026 NFL MVP futures have accumulated roughly $9 million in trading volume against Polymarket's $400,000, with Josh Allen the…
Kalshi Shows Larger UNC-TCU Market Volume as College Football Prediction Markets Open in Dublin
Both platforms are courting new depositors via affiliate referral codes timed to the Aer Lingus Classic, the first college football…
CFTC Orders Former White House Teleprompter Operator to Pay $172,539 Over Kalshi Speech Trades
Gabriel Perez, who read Trump's prepared remarks roughly an hour before delivery, traded "mention market" contracts on Kalshi from December…
Senators Press CFTC on Wildfire Event Contracts After $1.2 Million in Polymarket Trades
Nine Democratic senators sent CFTC Chair Michael Selig a letter on August 3 demanding a ban on wildfire event contracts,…
Ninth Circuit Says Kalshi Is Unlikely To Block Nevada Sports-Betting Enforcement
A unanimous Ninth Circuit panel ruled August 28 that Kalshi's sports event contracts are sports bets subject to state licensing,…
Ninth Circuit Lets Nevada Enforce Gambling Laws Against Kalshi Sports Contracts
A unanimous three-judge Ninth Circuit panel ruled August 28 that Nevada may enforce its ban on Kalshi's sports event contracts,…