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Total Vol$8.6B 24H Vol$2067.8M Markets4,950,997 Platforms4 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, … 0% +0% Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? 100% +0% Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by A… 100% +0% Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, … 100% +0% Lakers vs. Rockets 0% +0% Will there be no change in Fed interest ra… 100% +0% Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25… 0% +0% Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25… 0% +0% Lakers vs. Rockets 100% +0% 76ers vs. Celtics 100% +0% Total Vol$8.6B 24H Vol$2067.8M Markets4,950,997 Platforms4 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, … 0% +0% Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? 100% +0% Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by A… 100% +0% Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, … 100% +0% Lakers vs. Rockets 0% +0% Will there be no change in Fed interest ra… 100% +0% Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25… 0% +0% Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25… 0% +0% Lakers vs. Rockets 100% +0% 76ers vs. Celtics 100% +0%

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48,779 active markets across platforms

All Trending New Ending Soon Top Movers
All Politics Crypto AI & Tech Finance Sports Pop Culture World Events Science Weather
Market Source % Chance Liq Vol Ends
1753
Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 9.6%
90.4%
$4.3K -- 288mo Trade
1754
Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)
Crypto --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 68.7%
31.3%
$1.0K -- 154mo Trade
1755
Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 18.9%
81.1%
$1.3K -- 238mo Trade
1756
Will climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 4.4%
95.6%
$1.0K -- 896mo Trade
1757
Will non violent climate activism be prosecuted as terrorism by 2026?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 30.0%
70.0%
$1.0K -- 7mo Trade
1758
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 51.6%
48.4%
$1.0K -- 288mo Trade
1759
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2100?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 59.0%
41.0%
$1.0K -- 896mo Trade
1760
Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 42.5%
57.5%
$1.0K -- 40mo Trade
1761
Will the climate heat up more than 2.2°C before 2050?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 46.7%
53.3%
$1.0K -- 288mo Trade
1762
Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 47.8%
52.2%
$1.0K -- 44mo Trade
1763
By end of 2030, will I perceive the threat from climate change as being worse than at market creation?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 30.0%
70.0%
$1.0K -- 56mo Trade
1764
Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change before 2030?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +7.3% 82.2%
17.8%
$1.0K -- 44mo Trade
1765
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2100?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 37.7%
62.3%
$1.0K -- 896mo Trade
1766
Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2100?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 21.6%
78.4%
$1.0K -- 896mo Trade
1767
Will Our World In Data attribute more than 10 million deaths to climate change before 2030?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 47.1%
52.9%
$1.0K -- 55mo Trade
1768
Will a coal mine be bought and closed by climate activists by 2033?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 59.1%
40.9%
$1.0K -- 81mo Trade
1769
Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 19.1%
80.9%
$1.0K -- 775mo Trade
1770
Ocean Acidification Should Be More Worrying Than Atmospheric Climate Change (Resolves to Probability)
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 49.7%
50.3%
$1.0K -- 896mo Trade
1771
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 26.2%
73.8%
$1.0K -- 288mo Trade
1772
Will Climate Manipulating Weapons be Used in the Russian / Ukraine Conflict?
Sports --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 14.4%
85.6%
$1.0K -- -- Trade
1773
Will Our World In Data attribute more than 1 million deaths to climate change before 2030?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 69.1%
30.9%
$1.0K -- 55mo Trade
1774
Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 16.0%
84.0%
$1.0K -- 531mo Trade
1775
Will climate change still be a controversial topic in the public eye by 2040?
World Events --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 52.4%
47.6%
$1.0K -- 166mo Trade
1776
In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?
Finance --
Manifold +0.0% +0.0% 14.4%
85.6%
$1.1K -- 34mo Trade