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Total Vol$4.7B 24H Vol$283.6M Markets475,201 Platforms4 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, … 100% +0% Timberwolves vs. Nuggets 100% +263.5% Trail Blazers vs. Spurs 0% +0% US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22… 3% -84.6% Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? 1% Hawks vs. Knicks 100% +227.7% Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25… 0% +0% Raptors vs. Cavaliers 0% -99.8% Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? 100% +9.1% Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad… 100% Total Vol$4.7B 24H Vol$283.6M Markets475,201 Platforms4 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, … 100% +0% Timberwolves vs. Nuggets 100% +263.5% Trail Blazers vs. Spurs 0% +0% US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22… 3% -84.6% Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? 1% Hawks vs. Knicks 100% +227.7% Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25… 0% +0% Raptors vs. Cavaliers 0% -99.8% Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? 100% +9.1% Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad… 100%

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Market Source % Chance Liq Vol Ends
1
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
AI & Tech $50.0K
Polymarket +566.7% -- 1.0%
99.0%
$26.7K $50.0K 8d Trade
2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $48.0K
Polymarket -40.0% -- 0.1%
99.8%
$77.5K $48.0K 8d Trade
3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $368.8K
Polymarket +22.6% -- 18.7%
81.3%
$44.4K $368.8K 8d Trade
4
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $61.0K
Polymarket -16.7% -- 0.3%
99.8%
$63.0K $61.0K 8d Trade
5
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
AI & Tech $1.2K
Manifold +4.3% -- 28.0%
72.0%
$20.9K $1.2K 20mo Trade
6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $143.3K
Polymarket -4.2% -- 80.5%
19.5%
$53.6K $143.3K 8d Trade
7
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $71.4K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
99.8%
$310.7K $71.4K 8d Trade
8
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $71.0K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
99.8%
$346.5K $71.0K 8d Trade
9
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $67.9K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
99.8%
$303.2K $67.9K 8d Trade
10
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $45.6K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
100.0%
$291.6K $45.6K 8d Trade
11
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $71.3K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
99.8%
$307.6K $71.3K 8d Trade
12
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $40.5K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
100.0%
$102.8K $40.5K 8d Trade
13
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $57.8K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
99.8%
$347.8K $57.8K 8d Trade
14
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians
AI & Tech $1.7M
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
100.0%
$482.2K $1.7M 5d Trade
15
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
AI & Tech $39.0K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 74.0%
26.0%
$3.6K $39.0K 8d Trade
16
yes Jalen Brunson: 4+,yes Jaylen Brown: 2+,yes Payton Pritchard: 2+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 2+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Aaron Gordon: 10+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes Amen Thompson: 10+,yes Rui Hachimura: 10+,yes Derrick White: 10+,yes Payton Pritchard: 10+,yes Kelly Oubre Jr.: 10+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 10+,yes Franz Wagner: 10+,yes Dillon Brooks: 10+,yes Jonathan Kuminga: 2+,yes OG Anunoby: 2+,yes Aaron Gordon: 2+,yes Julius Randle: 6+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Alperen Sengun: 6+,yes Amen Thompson: 4+,yes Kelly Oubre Jr.: 2+,yes Paul George: 2+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 2+,yes Franz Wagner: 2+,yes Paolo Banchero: 4+,yes Chet Holmgren: 6+,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 2+,yes Dillon Brooks: 2+,yes Jalen Green: 2+
AI & Tech --
Kalshi +0.0% -- 1.0%
99.0%
-- -- 13d
17
Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?
AI & Tech $50
Manifold +0.0% -- 62.0%
38.0%
$5.0K $50 47mo Trade
18
Who will win the most votes in the CA-07 House primary?: Mai Vang
AI & Tech --
PredictIt +0.0% -- 98.0%
2.0%
-- -- -- Trade
19
By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
AI & Tech --
Manifold +0.0% -- 61.4%
38.6%
$2.1K -- 32mo Trade
20
yes Benjamin Bonzi,yes Nicolai Budkov Kjaer,yes Vilius Gaubas,yes Quentin Halys,yes Lloyd Harris,yes Daniel Merida,yes Hugo Gaston,yes Dino Prizmic,yes Henrique Rocha,yes Rei Sakamoto,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Adolfo Daniel Vallejo,yes Luca Van Assche,yes Titouan Droguet,yes Pablo Llamas Ruiz,yes Yibing Wu
AI & Tech --
Kalshi +0.0% -- 1.0%
99.0%
-- -- 12d
21
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
AI & Tech $40.0K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 95.7%
4.3%
$74.9K $40.0K 49d Trade
22
yes Benjamin Bonzi,yes Nicolai Budkov Kjaer,yes Cristian Garin,yes Vilius Gaubas,yes Quentin Halys,yes Lloyd Harris,yes Daniel Merida,yes Rinky Hijikata,yes Aleksandar Kovacevic,yes Moise Kouame,yes Matteo Arnaldi,yes Hugo Gaston,yes Andrea Pellegrino,yes Zsombor Piros,yes Dino Prizmic,yes Henrique Rocha,yes Rei Sakamoto,yes Nikoloz Basilashvili,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Adolfo Daniel Vallejo,yes Luca Van Assche,yes Titouan Droguet,yes Pablo Llamas Ruiz,yes Yibing Wu,yes Nikola Bartunkova,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich,yes Dalma Galfi,yes Dominika Salkova,yes Yuliia Starodubtseva,yes Donna Vekic,yes Katie Volynets,yes Simona Waltert
AI & Tech --
Kalshi +0.0% -- 1.0%
99.0%
-- -- 12d Trade
23
yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 1+,yes Boston,yes San Antonio,yes Jalen Johnson: 15+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 15+,yes Jalen Brunson: 25+,yes Anthony Edwards: 25+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 25+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Jaylen Brown: 20+,yes Jayson Tatum: 20+,yes Deni Avdija: 20+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+,yes Nikola Jokić: 10+,yes Jarrett Allen: 6+,yes Jayson Tatum: 6+,yes Oklahoma City wins by over 6.5 points
AI & Tech --
Kalshi +0.0% -- 1.0%
99.0%
-- -- 15d Trade
24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?
AI & Tech $99.1K
Polymarket +0.0% -- 0.1%
100.0%
$214.2K $99.1K -- Trade