Polymarket
World Events
active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
30.0%
No
70.0%
Price History
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
24h Volume
$1.4M
Total Volume
$15.0M
Liquidity
$292.0K
24h Change
-1.6%
Ends
Dec 31, 2026