Polymarket
Crypto
active
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Yes
8.6%
No
91.5%
Price History
About This Market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
24h Volume
$45.8K
Total Volume
$2.6M
Liquidity
$63.5K
24h Change
-1.2%
Ends
Jan 1, 2027