Polymarket
World Events
active
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%
Price History
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
24h Volume
$359.0K
Total Volume
$2.1M
Liquidity
$209.9K
24h Change
+0.0%
7d Change
-17.4%
Ends
Dec 31, 2027