Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
World Events
3 markets
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before i
Total Volume
$3.6M
Total Liquidity
$900.2K
Markets
3
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Market
Platform
% Chance
Price
Volume
24h
1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket
100.0%
100.0¢
$1.3M
+0.0%
Trade
2
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket
0.4%
0.4¢
$925.9K
+0.0%
Trade
3
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket
0.1%
0.1¢
$1.4M
+0.0%
Trade