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Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

World Events 2 markets

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially announces it will disarm in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements supported by the Secretary-General of Hezbollah (currently Naim Qassem), a direct successor, or, if the position of Secretary-General of Hezbollah is vacant, the widely acknowledged leadership of Hezbollah will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish o

Total Volume $1.3M
Total Liquidity $26.6K
Markets 2
Ends Mar 31, 2026
Market Platform % Chance Price Volume 24h
1 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Polymarket 16.0% 16.0¢ $1.2M +0.0% Trade
2 Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30? Polymarket 1.4% 1.4¢ $67.8K +0.0% Trade

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