Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
World Events
4 markets
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will
Total Volume
$237.8K
Total Liquidity
$475.8K
Markets
4
Ends
May 31, 2026
Market
Platform
% Chance
Price
Volume
24h
1
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Polymarket
100.0%
100.0¢
$75.6K
+0.0%
Trade
2
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Polymarket
10.5%
10.5¢
$56.9K
--
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3
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Polymarket
4.2%
4.2¢
$65.3K
-24.3%
Trade
4
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Polymarket
2.6%
2.6¢
$39.9K
-37.6%
Trade