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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

World Events 4 markets

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whethe

Total Volume $2.1M
Total Liquidity $86.1K
Markets 4
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Market Platform % Chance Price Volume 24h
1 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Polymarket 61.5% 61.5¢ $362.7K +0.0% Trade
2 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Polymarket 32.0% 32.0¢ $506.4K +0.0% Trade

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