What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
Finance
2 markets
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between the United States and Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s
Total Volume
$334.3K
Total Liquidity
$42.8K
Markets
2
Ends
Oct 31, 2026
Market
Platform
% Chance
Price
Volume
24h
1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Polymarket
0.7%
0.7¢
$234.3K
+225.0%
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2
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Polymarket
0.3%
0.3¢
$100.0K
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